market-mechanics-betting

github:lyndonkl/claude · first committed 2025-11-25 · source · badge

Use to convert probabilities into decisions (bet/pass/hedge) and optimize scoring. Invoke when need to calculate edge, size bets optimally (Kelly Criterion), extremize aggregated forecasts, or improve Brier scores. Use when user mentions betting strategy, Kelly, edge calculation, Brier score, extremizing, or translating belief into action.

Skill Health: not yet scored

Listed, not yet scored. This skill has no public model test yet. It is in the scoring queue; submitted skills go first, then the most-installed.

Version history

2 commits to this file on GitHub (newest first).

2026-04-15 · commit 07589aa · Align all skills and agents with latest Anthropic best practices
2025-11-25 · commit 06f88aa · Add comprehensive Superforecasting Toolkit with 4 skills and orchestrating agent

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