github:lyndonkl/claude · first seen 2026-10-31 · source · badge
Use when making predictions or judgments under uncertainty and need to explicitly update beliefs with new evidence. Invoke when forecasting outcomes, evaluating probabilities, testing hypotheses, calibrating confidence, assessing risks with uncertain data, or avoiding overconfidence bias. Use when user mentions priors, likelihoods, Bayes theorem, probability updates, forecasting, calibration, or b
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